Revised Forecast of Consolidated Financials for FY2018 (IFRS)

April 25, 2019

Osaka, Japan, April 25, 2019 - Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (“Takeda”) announced today its revised forecast for the full year consolidated financials for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2019.

Takeda completed the acquisition of Shire plc (“Shire”) on January 8, 2019, and it has been Takeda's objective to disclose an updated forecast inclusive of the Shire acquisition. Additionally, Japanese Securities Listing Regulations by the Tokyo Stock Exchange require forecasts to be updated if revenue or earnings are expected to differ more than 10% and 30%, respectively, from previously disclosed forecasts. We are announcing our revised forecast today as the estimated financial impact of the Shire acquisition, including the valuation and the initial purchase price allocation, has been determined.

Financial Highlights:

  • Legacy Takeda management guidance and forecast is raised to significantly increase Revenue and profit due to the strong momentum of the base business and overall cost discipline.

  • We expect legacy Takeda Underlying Core Earnings margin to grow approximately 540 basis points which was previously projected at the higher end of the 100 to 200 basis points range.

  • Legacy Shire is expected to contribute approximately 309.0 billion yen to revenue and 49.0 billion Yen to profit before income tax. (Shire has been consolidated into Takeda’s results since January 8, 2019.)

  • The financial impact of the Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) from the Shire acquisition to Operating Profit is expected to be 182.0 billion yen. This non-cash cost, does not affect Core Earnings.


The revised forecast is based on information currently available to management and does not represent a promise nor a guarantee that these forecasts will be achieved. An announcement of Takeda's full year consolidated financials for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2019 is scheduled on May 14, 2019.

1. Legacy Takeda Financials (April 1, 2018 – March 31, 2019. Incurred costs related to the acquisition of Shire are excluded.)

(millions of yen)

 

Revenue

Core
Earnings
NOTE

Operating
profit

Profit before
income taxes

Net profit attributable
to owners of
the Company

Basic earnings
per share

Previous Forecast (A)*

1,750,000

330,000

280,000

265,000

206,000

262.85 yen

Revised Forecast (B)

1,788,000

393,000

412,000

357,000

-

-

Difference (B-A)

+38,000

+63,000

+132,000

+92,000

-

-

Change %

+2.2%

+19.1%

+47.1%

+34.7%

-

-

* Announced on October 31, 2018

  • Revenue forecast has been increased to 1,788.0 billion yen due to improved performance of Takeda's Growth Drivers including ENTYVIO and TAKECAB, combined with delays in the launch of an additional competitor to our multiple myeloma product VELCADE in the United States.

  • Operating Profit forecast has been increased by 132.0 billion yen from 280.0 billion yen to 412.0 billion yen. The improvement in Operating Profit margin is expected to be driven by continued strict cost discipline and Growth Driver momentum. As a result, we expect strong legacy Takeda performance to absorb all of the Shire acquisition-related costs incurred in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2019 of approximately 126.0 billion yen. Please refer to the next page (p. 3) regarding the Shire acquisition-related costs.

  • The increased forecast difference in Profit before income taxes of 92.0 billion yen is smaller compared to the increased forecast in Operating profit of 132.0 billion yen due to an impairment charge in the third quarter accounted for using the equity method that was not included in the previous forecast. Therefore, profit before income taxes is forecasted to be approximately 357.0 billion yen.

  • Core Earnings forecast is increased by 63.0 billion yen to 393.0 billion yen due to improved performance of Takeda's Growth Drivers and cost discipline.

  • Net profit and basic earnings per share forecast will not be updated as the taxes are currently being calculated, and therefore the previously stated forecast is rescinded. We plan to discuss this at the earnings announcement on May 14, 2019.

 
2. Management Guidance – Underlying Growth NOTE of Legacy Takeda Business

 

Previous Guidance*
(growth %)

Revised Guidance
(growth %)

Underlying Revenue

Low single digit

Mid single digit

Underlying Core Earnings

High teens

High thirties

Underlying Core EPS

Mid twenties

-

* Announced on October 31, 2018.


Takeda revised its Management Guidance for the legacy Takeda business, for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2019, considering the strong expected performance. Takeda has upwardly revised its guidance for revenue and profits. In addition, we expect Underlying Core Earnings margin to grow approximately 540 basis points, which was previously projected at the higher end of the 100 to 200 basis points range.


3. Shire Acquisition Related Costs

(millions of yen)

 

Revenue

Core
Earnings
NOTE

Operating
profit

Profit before
income taxes

Revised Forecast

-

-

-85,000

-126,000

  • The updated forecast includes Takeda’s acquisition costs, integration costs, debt interest and other financial expenses as well as Shire’s acquisition-related costs. Total costs incurred by Takeda and Shire related to the Shire acquisition is expected to be approximately 126.0 billion yen comprised of 85.0 billion yen of operating cost and 41.0 billion yen of financial expense.

 
4. Legacy Shire Financials (Incurred costs related to the acquisition of Shire are excluded)

(millions of yen)

 

Revenue

Core
Earnings
NOTE

Operating
profit

Profit before
income taxes

Revised Forecast

309,000

66,000

60,000

49,000

  • Legacy Shire is expected to add approximately 309.0 billion yen to revenue and 60.0 billion yen of Operating profit to the consolidated results. As part of the integration, legacy Shire group’s results are expected to be impacted by the application of Takeda’s distribution channel policies, and will have a one-time effect resulting in significantly lower days-on-hand of commercial product at wholesalers.
  • Legacy Shire is forecasted to contribute 66.0 billion yen in Core Earnings.

 
5. Financial Impact from Shire's Preliminary Purchase Price Allocation

(millions of yen)

 

Revenue

Core
Earnings
NOTE

Operating
profit

Profit before
income taxes

Revised Forecast

-

-

-182,000

-186,000

  • We plan to record approximately 82.0 billion yen related to the fair value step up on the acquired inventory and approximately 99.0 billion yen of amortization for the acquired intangibles for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2019.


6. Revised Forecast for Full Year Consolidated Financials for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2019 (April 1, 2018 – March 31, 2019. Incurred costs related to the acquisition of Shire are included.)

 (millions of yen)

 

Revenue

Core
Earnings
NOTE

Operating
profit

Profit before
income taxes

Net profit attributable
to owners of
the Company

Basic earnings
per share

Previous Forecast (A)*

1,750,000

330,000

268,900

245,200

189,500

241.82 yen

Revised Forecast (B)

2,097,000

459,000

205,000

95,000

-

-

Difference (B-A)

+347,000

+129,000

-63,900

-150,200

-

-

Change %

+19.8%

+39.1%

-23.8%

-61.3%

-

-

Reference:
Consolidated Results
for the Year Ending
March 31, 2018 (C)

1,770,531

322,494

241,789

217,205

186,708

239.35 yen

Difference (B-C)

+326,469

+136,506

-36,789

-122,205

-

-

Change %

+18.4%

+42.3%

-15.2%

-56.3%

-

-

* Announced on October 31, 2018, includes Shire acquisition-related costs incurred until the second quarter of FY2018.


NOTE

  • Core Earnings is a non-IFRS measure and it represents net profit adjusted to exclude income tax expenses, our share of profit or loss of investments accounted for using the equity method, finance expenses and income, other operating expenses and income, amortization and impairment losses on intangible assets associated with products and other items that management believes are unrelated to our core operations, such as purchase accounting effects and transaction related costs.

  • Underlying Growth is a non-IFRS measure and it compares two periods (quarters or years) of financial results under a common basis and is used by management to assess the business. These financial results are calculated on a constant currency basis and excluding the impacts of divestitures and other amounts that are unusual, non-recurring items or unrelated to our ongoing operations.


Contacts
Investor Relations
Takashi Okubo, +81-(0)3-3278-2306
takeda.ir.contact@takeda.com

Media Relations
Kazumi Kobayashi, +81 (0)3-3278-2095
kazumi.kobayashi@takeda.com


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Certain Non-IFRS Financial Measures

This press release includes certain non-IFRS financial measures not presented in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”), including Underlying Revenue, Core Earnings, Underlying Core Earnings, Core Net Profit, Underlying Core Net Profit, Underlying Core EPS, Net Debt, EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA and Operating Free Cash Flow. Takeda’s management evaluates results and makes operating and investment decisions using both IFRS and non-IFRS measures included in this press release. These non-IFRS measures exclude certain income, cost and cash flow items which are included in, or are calculated differently from, the most closely comparable measures presented in accordance with IFRS. By including these non-IFRS measures, management intends to provide investors with additional information to further analyze Takeda’s performance, core results and underlying trends. Takeda’s non-IFRS measures are not prepared in accordance with IFRS and such non-IFRS measures should be considered a supplement to, and not a substitute for, measures prepared in accordance with IFRS (which we sometimes refer to as “reported” measures). Investors are encouraged to review the reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures to their most directly comparable IFRS measures.

Further information on certain of Takeda’s Non-IFRS measures is posted on Takeda’s investor relations website at https://www.takeda.com/investors/reports/quarterly-announcements/quarterly-announcements-2018/

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